Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.414752 0.481429 0.554790 0.641413 0.740818 0.851242 0.983129
2025-05-18 0.299409 0.388199 0.496377 0.637486 0.816285 1.034865 1.321906
2025-05-25 0.234786 0.329757 0.454265 0.628634 0.865610 1.175422 1.610031
2025-06-01 0.193016 0.289590 0.424062 0.623639 0.910743 1.306964 1.893006
2025-06-08 0.158170 0.251601 0.388799 0.603072 0.927008 1.395573 2.121076
2025-06-15 0.145692 0.243797 0.394627 0.640746 1.028972 1.613465 2.554299
2025-06-22 0.123020 0.216187 0.365901 0.620692 1.039240 1.693840 2.787028
2025-06-29 0.104864 0.192949 0.340480 0.601596 1.047011 1.768601 3.015266
2025-07-06 0.090626 0.174147 0.319592 0.586662 1.058561 1.848538 3.257035
2025-07-13 0.082902 0.165766 0.315297 0.599229 1.117214 2.010446 3.648952
2025-07-20 0.078750 0.163368 0.321167 0.630186 1.210718 2.239340 4.175775
2025-07-27 0.073082 0.157185 0.319154 0.646038 1.277907 2.427362 4.646288
2025-08-03 0.066517 0.148494 0.311686 0.651376 1.327451 2.590797 5.092693
2025-08-10 0.059774 0.138495 0.300457 0.648089 1.360252 2.726765 5.501898
2025-08-17 0.053357 0.128222 0.287301 0.639126 1.380431 2.839917 5.876934
2025-08-24 0.048092 0.119714 0.276707 0.634053 1.407542 2.968262 6.292206
2025-08-31 0.042220 0.108908 0.259743 0.613158 1.399090 3.024376 6.566995
2025-09-07 0.041355 0.109927 0.269165 0.651431 1.520938 3.356289 7.434702
2025-09-14 0.036545 0.100504 0.253522 0.631058 1.511923 3.414542 7.734865
2025-09-21 0.032372 0.092055 0.239076 0.611659 1.502790 3.471168 8.035632
2025-09-28 0.028926 0.084977 0.227029 0.596487 1.501580 3.544441 8.378339
2025-10-05 0.027316 0.082631 0.226438 0.609255 1.567373 3.771951 9.083169
2025-10-12 0.026734 0.083076 0.233009 0.640704 1.681208 4.117657 10.084195